RUSSIAN UKRAINE WAR - 10.05.2025 | SITUATION UPDATE

Narrative

The Russia-Ukraine War began in February 2014 when Russian forces covertly invaded Crimea, marking the start of a conflict that would escalate over the years. By April 2014, Russia and local proxies seized territories in Ukraine's Donbas region, triggering a prolonged war in eastern Ukraine that resulted in over 14,000 casualties by 2022. On February 24, 2022, Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, citing multiple reasons, including the false claim that Ukraine was committing genocide against Russian speakers in the Donbas and a desire to prevent Ukraine’s further integration with NATO and the European Union. Although Russia initially made significant territorial gains, Ukrainian forces mounted fierce resistance, successfully repelling attempts to capture Kyiv and other major cities. The conflict continues to evolve, with devastating humanitarian impacts, significant military casualties on both sides, and widespread international attention as the war reshapes the geopolitical landscape.

Recent Key development of Russian Ukraine War

• On April 17, 2025, French President Emmanuel Macron hosted key officials in Paris to discuss ending the Russia-Ukraine war. Attendees included US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, US Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy’s Chief of Staff Andriy Yermak. Macron's foreign policy adviser Emmanuel Bonne, along with officials from Britain and Germany, participated in the talks. US President Donald Trump has also been involved, advocating for peace talks with both Russia and Ukraine.
  
  
• On April 19, 2025, Putin announced a 30-hour Easter truce, which Zelenskyy rejected, citing ongoing Russian attacks. Zelenskyy stressed Ukraine would only accept a truce if Russia committed to peace. The announcement came alongside continued strikes and a prisoner swap mediated by the UAE.
• On April 20, 2025, U.S. Special Envoy Keith Kellogg stated that the U.S. is not considering NATO membership for Ukraine in peace talks. He emphasized that while the U.S. is committed to ending the war, Russia’s annexation of Crimea remains a critical issue. Kellogg's remarks indicate the U.S. is seeking a diplomatic resolution without compromising Ukraine’s sovereignty.
  
  
• On April 21, 2025, Russian President Putin said Moscow would "analyze" Ukraine's proposal for a 30-day halt on airstrikes against civilian infrastructure. The move follows a statement by U.S. envoy Keith Kellogg, confirming that NATO membership for Ukraine is off the table, which Russia welcomed.
  
  
• On 26.04.2025, In a Time interview, President Trump stated that Ukraine’s NATO ambitions triggered Russia’s aggression, and declared, “Crimea will stay with Russia.” These comments contradict Ukraine’s stance in 2014 when Russia initiated its invasion, as Ukraine was not pursuing NATO membership at the time.
  
  
• On 28.04.2025, Russia announced a 72-hour ceasefire from May 7-10 for Victory Day, urging Ukraine to agree. Ukraine rejected the truce, with Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha demanding an immediate 30-day ceasefire instead. President Zelensky called the pause a "manipulation" and stressed the need for a lasting ceasefire.
  
  
• On 30.04.2025, The US and Ukraine signed a minerals deal, establishing a fund to share profits from future mineral sales. The agreement aims to support Ukraine's defense against Russia and help repay $175bn in aid. Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko confirmed the signing, with the deal offering Ukraine full control over its resources. The deal is still pending approval by Ukraine’s parliament.
  
  
• On 8 May 2025, Putin has declared a three-day ceasefire for Russia’s Victory Day, but Ukraine rejects it as a "theatrical show." Despite Russia's claims of halting hostilities, Ukraine reports continued attacks. Zelensky calls for a real, 30-day ceasefire. Over 20 international leaders attend the Victory Day parade, while tensions persist.
  
  
• On May 9, 2025, Putin hosted a Victory Day parade in Moscow with leaders like Xi Jinping and Lula da Silva. Despite a 72-hour ceasefire, Ukraine reported over 700 violations, calling the truce a "farce." Zelenskyy and Sybiha accused Russia of exploiting the ceasefire for its Victory Day. Ukraine pushed for a 30-day ceasefire for talks while defending against continued attacks.